I. Review of the production of soda ash industry in 2008
The year 2008 was a very special year for the soda industry. Soda ash production and export volumes were the highest in history. Soda ash market sales prices not only created the highest levels of history, but also fell back to historical lows. The largest price fluctuation was the highest in history. The monthly profit is the largest, and the monthly maximum loss has also occurred; the soaring raw material prices have made the production cost of soda ash the highest in history.
1. In 2008, China produced a total of 18.31 million tons of soda ash, an increase of 1.07 million tons over the same period of last year, an increase of 6.2%. It not only created the highest production history of soda ash, but also the lowest growth rate of soda ash production in 10 years. After October, due to the economic downturn in the international financial crisis, the production of soda ash has plummeted, and production in the two months of November and December reduced by about 800,000 to 900,000 tons.
2. In 2008, China exported a total of 2.12 million tons of soda ash, 420,000 tons more than that of the same period of last year, an increase of 24.7%, and the highest export level. In 2008, China imported 1,397 tons of soda ash, which was the lowest level in many years.
3. Before September of 2008, continuing the strong demand of the domestic market in 2007 and driving the production cost, the selling price of the soda ash market gradually increased, and the highest prices of the heavy alkali and light alkali reached 2600 yuan/ton and 2400 yuan respectively. Tons, the highest price of soda ash was created; after September, due to the impact of the international financial crisis, domestic demand suddenly decreased, and the market experienced serious production over sales, and price competition tended to become more intense. In less than three months, heavy alkali and light alkali were produced. Prices fell to 1,200 yuan / ton and 1,000 yuan / ton, respectively, and some places even lower prices. The volatility of soda ash and the speed of its production are the highest in history.
4. In the first nine months of 2008, raw material prices continued to climb, but soda ash prices continued to increase and were operating at high levels. The soda ash industry achieved the best economic benefits in the same period of history. After October, soda ash prices fell sharply, except for a few companies in the current month. In addition, most companies began to experience monthly losses, and monthly losses occurred in the industry in November and December. Although the economic benefits of the entire industry have fluctuate greatly in 2008, from the annual perspective, the benefits are still at a good level.
II. Prospects and Analysis of Soda Ash Industry Production Situation in 2009
For the soda ash industry in 2009, constraints and favorable factors coexist. If demand is difficult to increase significantly, production still needs to be reduced, and output growth will be the least in recent years. After experiencing a low point at the end of 2008, the market sales price will tend to be rational and will rebound slightly. The first half of 2009 will be the most difficult period.
1. The state has successively introduced a series of policy measures to “guarantee growth, expand domestic demand, and adjust structureâ€, which are favorable factors for promoting the development of the industry. In the face of difficulties, we must have confidence that the government's continuous introduction of policies and measures involves a wide range and depth. The unprecedented amount of investment is unprecedented. In the process of implementing these policies and measures across the country, there will be tremendous power to promote the steady growth of the national economy.
2. Constraints affecting the development of the industry Externally speaking, the impact of the international financial crisis on the real economy is gradually deepening, directly affecting the exports of soda ash and downstream products using soda ash as raw material. Judging from domestic factors, China's GDP growth rate has slowed down, and domestic demand has decreased. However, a number of new construction and expansion projects have been completed and will be on standby. This has added to the excess capacity of the soda ash industry.
3, production reduction measures still need to adhere to. The impact of the world financial crisis continues. There is still another process for the implementation and transmission of various government policies and measures. It will take a certain period of time. The price of soda ash is relatively stable in January this year, and production cuts are the most important. However, this relative stability is very fragile. Before the downstream products show signs of starting, the soda ash industry still needs to insist on measures to reduce production.
4. Development trend: Comparing the factors of various aspects, this year's optimistic estimate of the production of soda ash is similar to that of 2008. Pessimistic estimation will retreat to the level of 2007; there will be no major breakthrough in the supply and demand relationship of soda ash market, and the entire industry will break through the year. Still lose money. Soda ash exports will decrease, and export prices will decrease.
At the symposium, the comrades of each unit separately introduced the relevant conditions in their respective industries.
Note: This article was transferred from the Daily Glass Association websiteC Fold Paper Towel,Paper Towel C Fold,C Fold Paper Hand Towel,C-Fold Towels
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